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How betting markets work, with the math shown. Each article explains one idea the Lab's research is built on.
What are prop bets? Player, game and team props explained
A prop is a bet on something inside a game rather than its result. The three kinds, how the lines work, and what they cost.
How to tell if a betting line has value
Turn a price into a break-even chance, remove the vig to find the fair price, and compare books, with a worked example.
What line shopping is worth
Why the same bet at -105 instead of -110 can be the difference between breaking even and a real return, in numbers.
Closing line value: telling skill from luck
Why the price you got versus the price at kickoff says more about your process than your win-loss record.
Why player props are harder to beat than game lines
Props usually carry a bigger margin than spreads and totals. What that does to the win rate you need, and what to check first.
How to check a betting track record before you trust it
What a record needs to show before it means anything: timestamps, prices, units, every loss, and enough picks.
Why paying for sports picks almost never works
The break-even math at -110, why most pick records can't be checked, and what a record has to show.