Research · not a graded pick
Scoring model v2 v2· current
The NFL Model's current scoring model (v2) replayed on Weeks 1-5. These are not Official Picks. The Official Picks record stays exactly as published — each week's card shows which version was in effect.
Updated Oct 17, 12:55 PM ET (6d old)
v2· current · Weeks 1-5 · research only
24-16-2 +5.71u
+13.6%
Research only - not Official Picks and not counted in the official record. These weeks are re-scored with the most up-to-date version of our current scoring model and pick rules, using each game's lines as they stood at kickoff. Injury and line-movement inputs from those weeks aren't replayed.
Week by week
| Week | v2 (research) | Official Picks record |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 4-6-1 -2.35u | Before the record started |
| Week 2 | 2-5 -3.30u | Before the record started |
| Week 3 | 5-2 +2.39u | Before the record started |
| Week 4 | 8-1-1 +6.50u | 19-4-2 +13.47u |
| Week 5 | 5-2 +2.47u | 9-13-1 -5.10u |
A unit is one standard stake, graded at each game's price at kickoff. The pick-by-pick replay is on the Betting Agents NFL tab.
Why the Official Picks record doesn't change
The scoring model is refined as the season goes on. Rewriting past Official Picks every time the rules change would make the record impossible to follow, so published weeks stay as they were graded — each week's version is shown on its record card. This page shows what the current version (v2) would have done instead, as research, so the two can be compared side by side.
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